Overview
Account value
Paper equity, and what's left after paying for AI forecasts
AI spend per day
Estimated Claude cost, against your daily budget
Open positions
All prices are for the side we hold. "Worth to the bot" is its fair value: the AI's forecast mixed with the market price, trusting the market about twice as much. Edge now is that value minus today's price (above zero, the bot thinks our side is underpriced); under it is what each contract was worth to the bot when bought. A forecast is out of date after 12 hours or a 10¢ price move, and the bot buys no more until it re-forecasts.
Resting orders
Settled trades
Profit or loss per trade
Oldest to newest. Above the line won, below lost.
AI forecasts
Where the AI has an edge
How much less error each slice had than the market price (+ is better), with a 95% range under it. A slice gets a verdict once it has 20 resolved markets from 5 events.
Calibration
Resolved markets grouped by the AI's forecast. When the AI is well calibrated, "Happened" matches "AI avg".
Live activity
Everything the bot does, newest first.